Showing posts with label finance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label finance. Show all posts

Tuesday, 09 April 2013

I am too poor to be able to afford a loan from Wonga

Wonga offers loans at ridiculous rates.  I am too poor to throw money away like this:
The total cost works out to 74% for one day!
The tip says: "We suggest you choose your next pay day as the repayment date".  If they really cared about their customers, I can think of several more relevant tips, such as:
"Hey, we noticed you chose the minimum amount for 1 day.  Did you know that keeping it for 3 days won't cost you more?"

Yes, if you borrow more it becomes relatively cheaper, but now you know how they can afford prime time advertising on DSTV.  I wish my shares gave this kind of a return.  Currently Bitcoin seems to keep up, but who knows where that will end?

Wednesday, 07 September 2011

Anti-innovation companies

Some companies, such as Google and Apple are all about innovation, and competing with them is hard because they keep moving the goalposts.  This is part of why they make so much money and are so valuable to investors.  In order to get this innovation, you need to actively solicit new ideas from staff, and properly incentivize innovation and ensure that you do not let great ideas slip through the cracks.

We know about these companies, and their stories are not new.  Today's topic is so called "anti-innovation" companies - companies that place so many hurdles in the way of innovation and have so much red tape that getting a new idea through is almost impossible - you need to fortuitously combine the person with the idea, the person with the mandate, the person with the budget, the person with the resources (staff) and the correct phase of the moon, and also accept that the credit will go to some totally unrelated person to get a new idea implemented.  People with innovative ideas unfailingly leave the employ of these companies after a while, completely disillusioned and disheartened, having accomplished nothing.  Sometimes they will eventually see their idea implemented a decade or so later, when everyone else is doing it, and bestowing no competitive advantage whatsoever to their original company (and of course, no credit to the originator).

Examples are of course governments, big banks and insurance companies, and probably a large percentage of companies where there are more than 10 000 employees and the average employee has worked for the same company for more than 5 years - i.e. a large bureaucracy and stagnating, trapped employees.  Promotions are only available when your immediate supervisor retires or dies (or sometimes gets promoted himself).  The position tends to go to the person with the longest service, not the most qualified.

These anti-innovation companies are also big customers of managing consultants (McKinsey, Accenture), big audit firms and research firms.  They spend millions on these firms to tell them what their employees have been telling them for years.  Sometimes they even read the final report they have spent millions on.

If you recognize your employer, and like to innovate, leave.  If you like a steady paycheck and get your stimulation elsewhere, chill.  Whatever you do, do not buy shares in this company, and if you have, sell them.  You can do better elsewhere.  They may not go out of business, but they will also never shoot out the lights.

And so things will remain, until one day, Google or Apple (or some other company that innovates) decides that they want a slice of the revenue pie where our anti-innovation company operates - then they are dead in the water and will cease to exist - how long will it be before you replace your bank with Google Money or iBank if they became available?  If an organization with as many inefficiencies and as much bureaucracy as your bank can make money, how long do you think it will be before an innovative company decides to target a share of that revenue? (EBay's Paypal is going into offline payments as we speak).

Tuesday, 17 May 2011

Fixing home loan rate (2)

Quick one:
Seems that Moneyweb finally got with the program, and are essentially saying what I did yesterday, in this article, just in more words, and less clear.
Go figure. (Maybe they read this blog - I wish!)

Monday, 16 May 2011

Should you fix your home loan rate?

Currently all the talk in South Africa is about your home loan rate, (Prime at 9%) and whether or not you should fix this rate, given that rates could rise by up to 2% in the next 2 years... Moneyweb article

The answer is actually simple - do you think you know more than the economists at the banks, and are you willing to bet on it?  If not, keep your variable rate...

Let me explain.  If you currently have a mortgage at prime less 1.5% (7.5%) variable rate, you will not be able to fix it at 7.5%.  You will be charged up to 2% more for the "privilege" of fixing your rate.

This means that if you are afraid that rates could go up over the next two years, banks offer you the option of paying the higher rate now, to assuage your fears, and remove the uncertainty of having the lower rate for a longer time.

What you should do, if you cannot afford to take a chance that the rates go up by more than 2% in the next two years?  Simple.  Get a quote from your bank at what the payment would be if you fixed your interest rate.  Now pay this amount monthly, without fixing your rate.  You will be building up a nest egg, as you are in effect reducing the outstanding capital faster.  Should the rates go up by less than 2%, you will still keep paying the same amount; the extra amount will just shrink.  If the rates go up by more than 2%, and you cannot afford the new payment, ask your bank to recalculate your loan, using the extra capital to reduce the monthly payment.

Here is an example based on a R1 million loan at prime less 1.5%(7.5%) over 20 years (payment R8055.93 pm).  Fixing the rate at 9.5% will result in a new payment of R9321.31 pm.  Lets assume that the rates go up by 0.5% every six months over the next two years, and you keep the rate variable but pay the new amount.  After two years you will have reduced the outstanding capital by an extra R17749.36, and even if that rate climbs by another 0.5% to 10%, you should still be able to afford the payment after recalculating to factor in the reduced capital (R9354.99).


You only lose if the rates go up by more than about 4% in the next two years.  If the banks' economists thought that a likely outcome, they would have charged you more than 2% extra to fix your rate...